Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.3% | 48.7% | -0.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -14 (109-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 11-23 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 12 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 34 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 34 | 12-22 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 32 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 31 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 27 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 20 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 31 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 29 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 24 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 29 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 23 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter