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2021-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 32.7% 67.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% - ✗
Margin 45.3% 54.7% +1.0 ✗ (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% - ✗
Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 52.6% 47.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 52.6% 47.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 47.3% 52.7% - ✗

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -8 (112-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 38 11-18 6-10 11-15 5 12 1 1 39 - -
Joe Harris * 37 9-12 6-8 0-0 2 0 2 0 24 - -
Kevin Durant * 37 11-17 3-3 3-4 7 8 0 0 28 - -
Blake Griffin * 25 3-11 0-5 2-3 5 3 1 2 8 - -
Bruce Brown * 22 2-5 1-1 1-1 5 0 3 0 6 - -
Patty Mills 25 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
LaMarcus Aldridge 22 2-6 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 1 7 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Jevon Carter 11 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Paul Millsap 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Hart * 38 6-13 1-3 0-0 7 5 0 1 13 - -
Garrett Temple * 36 6-13 4-8 1-1 6 2 0 2 17 - -
Devonte' Graham * 30 5-11 3-7 1-2 3 6 2 0 14 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 29 6-14 0-1 8-8 12 3 0 1 20 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 25 6-12 3-6 1-2 2 0 0 0 16 - -
Herbert Jones 22 5-8 1-3 0-0 4 1 2 0 11 - -
Jaxson Hayes 18 4-5 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Trey Murphy III 17 3-8 1-4 1-1 6 1 1 0 8 - -
Tomas Satoransky 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 6 1 0 2 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter