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2021-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 76.2% 23.8% -
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% -
Margin 38.4% 61.6% +2.6 (27.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% -
Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.3% 50.7% -
Log Adjusted 49.3% 50.7% -
Points Off/Def 44.1% 55.9% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -25 (94-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 29 5-7 3-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 13 - -
Chris Paul * 27 6-12 0-2 3-3 4 12 5 0 15 - -
Jae Crowder * 25 6-10 5-8 0-0 5 0 0 2 17 - -
Devin Booker * 25 7-17 1-5 2-2 5 7 0 0 17 - -
JaVale McGee * 15 4-6 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 0 9 - -
Frank Kaminsky 27 4-7 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 2 8 - -
Landry Shamet 23 2-9 2-5 2-2 4 3 0 0 8 - -
Cameron Johnson 22 4-7 3-6 1-1 7 1 0 0 12 - -
Cameron Payne 20 4-13 2-5 0-0 2 2 1 1 10 - -
Abdel Nader 17 4-5 2-2 0-0 4 1 2 1 10 - -
Jalen Smith 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 31 10-19 0-2 6-9 12 6 2 0 26 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 26 7-18 2-6 3-4 4 1 0 2 19 - -
Desmond Bane * 23 4-13 1-4 0-0 8 1 0 2 9 - -
Steven Adams * 21 2-6 0-0 1-4 10 1 1 0 5 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 17 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
John Konchar 24 1-4 1-3 1-4 6 1 1 0 4 - -
Ziaire Williams 19 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Brandon Clarke 19 4-7 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 2 8 - -
Kyle Anderson 17 1-4 0-1 2-2 2 1 2 0 4 - -
Tyus Jones 14 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 7 - -
Xavier Tillman 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Sam Merrill 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Santi Aldama 5 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Yves Pons 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter