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2021-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 57.0% 43.0% -
Bradley-Terry 28.5% 71.5% -
Margin 18.3% 81.7% +8.2 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 33.3% 66.7% -
Efficiency 15.9% 84.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.0% 80.0% -
Log Adjusted 19.9% 80.1% -
Points Off/Def 25.8% 74.2% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +20 (98-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 31 1-12 0-5 2-2 7 2 0 0 4 - -
Cade Cunningham * 31 4-8 1-3 0-0 6 3 1 0 9 - -
Killian Hayes * 27 2-9 1-2 0-0 6 5 6 0 5 - -
Jerami Grant * 24 5-12 2-4 4-4 2 1 2 1 16 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 24 1-5 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 2 2 - -
Frank Jackson 23 4-8 2-5 2-3 2 2 0 1 12 - -
Josh Jackson 21 4-10 2-5 1-2 5 1 0 0 11 - -
Cory Joseph 20 3-3 0-0 1-1 3 2 1 1 7 - -
Trey Lyles 15 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Luka Garza 13 2-4 0-1 1-1 2 2 1 0 5 - -
Rodney McGruder 6 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 34 6-10 2-2 2-4 7 1 2 3 16 - -
Darius Garland * 34 8-14 4-9 1-1 2 7 2 0 21 - -
Dean Wade * 29 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 - -
Jarrett Allen * 29 5-7 0-0 1-1 7 1 0 1 11 - -
Isaac Okoro * 23 4-12 1-7 0-1 9 1 1 0 9 - -
Ricky Rubio 27 2-9 1-5 0-0 1 9 5 0 5 - -
Cedi Osman 22 7-13 1-6 2-2 2 1 1 0 17 - -
Dylan Windler 22 3-7 2-5 0-0 7 4 0 1 8 - -
Tacko Fall 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Kevin Pangos 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Ed Davis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Denzel Valentine 3 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Lamar Stevens 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter