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2021-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 19.4% 80.6% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% -
Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% -
Log Adjusted 34.6% 65.4% -
Points Off/Def 35.9% 64.1% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +9 (122-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bobby Portis * 41 10-15 1-4 1-2 6 2 0 0 22 - -
Jrue Holiday * 40 6-25 1-12 4-4 6 13 3 0 17 - -
George Hill * 38 7-16 2-9 0-0 4 3 1 0 16 - -
Grayson Allen * 34 6-16 5-9 4-5 4 0 1 0 21 - -
Pat Connaughton * 34 6-10 3-7 0-0 5 1 2 1 15 - -
Semi Ojeleye 31 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 2 2 - -
Jordan Nwora 20 4-8 3-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 11 - -
Rodney Hood 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 11 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Smart * 42 7-13 2-5 3-3 6 6 3 0 19 - -
Jayson Tatum * 41 10-25 5-13 2-4 11 1 0 2 27 - -
Dennis Schroder * 41 16-27 3-9 3-3 8 3 1 0 38 - -
Robert Williams III * 40 5-5 0-0 2-2 10 3 0 3 12 - -
Al Horford * 29 3-10 1-6 2-2 7 5 1 1 9 - -
Josh Richardson 28 2-6 0-3 4-4 6 2 0 1 8 - -
Romeo Langford 19 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Grant Williams 16 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Aaron Nesmith 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter