Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | +1.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: LA Clippers +3 (112-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 39 | 12-18 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 38 | 10-23 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 37 | 9-17 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 2-13 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 23 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 20 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 17 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Bledsoe * | 40 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | - | - | |
| Paul George * | 38 | 11-25 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Nicolas Batum * | 36 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 30 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Ivica Zubac * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 26 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Terance Mann | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Justise Winslow | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter