Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.1% | 43.9% | -1.3 | ✗ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +3 (120-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 46 | 5-14 | 2-10 | 6-7 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 45 | 4-16 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 38 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 9-20 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 42 | 11-22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 14 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Udonis Haslem | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 44 | 10-23 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 43 | 10-22 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 12 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Avery Bradley * | 38 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony | 37 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 34 | 10-13 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Wayne Ellington | 21 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter