Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | +6.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +3 (101-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Holiday * | 35 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 34 | 11-21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 33 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 30 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 21 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 28 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 33 | 11-19 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 30 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| P.J. Dozier | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 21 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 20 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter