Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.6% | 65.4% | +3.5 | ✓ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +19 (136-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 34 | 14-24 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 37 | 25 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Maurice Harkless * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 25 | 6-16 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - | |
| Jahmi'us Ramsey | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 20 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Alex Len | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - | |
| Damian Jones | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 31 | 11-21 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 20 | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 21 | - | |
| Derrick White * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 26 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - | |
| Drew Eubanks * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 22 | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 24 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 23 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 22 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 12 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - | |
| Tre Jones | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Joshua Primo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Joe Wieskamp | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter