Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.9% | 24.1% | -6.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -8 (100-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 7-19 | 2-7 | 8-11 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 33 | 8-13 | 2-7 | 9-10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 20 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 14 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 13 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gabriel Deck | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 39 | 9-20 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 34 | 10-22 | 4-10 | 9-11 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham * | 33 | 7-18 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple * | 29 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones | 31 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tomas Satoransky | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III | 16 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 12 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter