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2021-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 42.3% 57.7% -
Bradley-Terry 24.1% 75.9% -
Margin 15.4% 84.6% +9.4 (19.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.7% 60.3% -
Efficiency 29.0% 71.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.1% 73.9% -
Log Adjusted 25.9% 74.1% -
Points Off/Def 29.6% 70.4% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -10 (108-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 37 6-15 2-6 11-11 5 5 1 0 25 - -
LaMelo Ball * 32 5-13 2-7 0-1 9 8 2 0 12 - -
Miles Bridges * 31 3-11 1-4 3-4 9 6 2 1 10 - -
Terry Rozier * 27 4-14 1-3 2-3 3 5 2 1 11 - -
Mason Plumlee * 27 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 2 6 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 30 13-17 7-9 4-4 5 1 2 0 37 - -
Jalen McDaniels 21 2-5 1-3 1-1 6 1 1 1 6 - -
Cody Martin 20 3-8 1-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 7 - -
Nick Richards 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 4 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 37 13-27 1-6 5-5 7 8 3 0 32 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 32 3-11 1-7 0-0 8 3 2 2 7 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 30 8-13 3-6 0-0 6 2 1 2 19 - -
Steven Adams * 28 4-4 0-0 1-5 13 3 0 2 9 - -
Desmond Bane * 20 1-10 0-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Dillon Brooks 26 8-17 4-7 0-0 4 6 2 0 20 - -
Kyle Anderson 24 5-11 0-2 2-4 7 2 2 0 12 - -
John Konchar 17 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 3 1 4 - -
Brandon Clarke 12 1-6 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 1 2 - -
Tyus Jones 10 0-2 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter