Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.8% | 50.2% | +0.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +10 (117-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 33 | 7-15 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 33 | 6-18 | 1-6 | 7-10 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 31 | 9-16 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 22 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 29 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 22 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonzo Ball * | 38 | 7-14 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 7-20 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 32 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Zach LaVine * | 31 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 22 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 19 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 18 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Alize Johnson | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tony Bradley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter