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2021-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 66.2% 33.8% -
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% -
Margin 37.1% 62.9% +2.9 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% -
Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.7% 50.3% -
Log Adjusted 49.7% 50.3% -
Points Off/Def 45.7% 54.3% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -8 (104-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 35 6-17 2-9 2-2 9 3 1 0 16 - -
Jerami Grant * 34 12-23 4-9 7-9 5 3 0 2 35 - -
Killian Hayes * 30 1-4 1-3 1-2 1 3 0 0 4 - -
Cade Cunningham * 30 8-18 4-8 0-0 4 3 2 1 20 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 4 - -
Kelly Olynyk 25 5-11 3-6 0-2 6 1 2 1 13 - -
Josh Jackson 18 3-6 0-3 2-2 8 4 0 1 8 - -
Cory Joseph 17 2-5 1-3 0-1 2 5 0 0 5 - -
Frank Jackson 15 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Trey Lyles 15 3-7 1-4 0-0 6 0 0 0 7 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Wood * 37 7-14 3-6 3-6 9 3 0 0 20 - -
Jalen Green * 37 8-20 3-11 4-4 5 2 0 0 23 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 35 4-11 2-5 8-14 5 5 1 1 18 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 28 4-9 0-1 6-9 8 1 2 1 14 - -
Daniel Theis * 26 3-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 2 6 - -
Eric Gordon 29 4-9 2-5 1-1 1 1 0 0 11 - -
Danuel House Jr. 18 3-9 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 8 - -
David Nwaba 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -
Josh Christopher 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter