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2021-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% -
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% -
Margin 15.1% 84.9% +9.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 30.0% 70.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.4% 68.6% -
Log Adjusted 31.3% 68.7% -
Points Off/Def 33.4% 66.6% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +16 (104-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
OG Anunoby * 36 6-14 0-4 2-3 5 4 1 1 14 - -
Fred VanVleet * 35 5-14 4-9 2-2 3 6 3 1 16 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 34 6-12 2-7 0-0 4 0 0 1 14 - -
Scottie Barnes * 31 7-11 0-0 7-8 7 4 0 0 21 - -
Pascal Siakam * 29 3-7 0-1 2-2 7 3 2 0 8 - -
Precious Achiuwa 24 1-4 0-0 1-2 9 3 1 3 3 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 19 4-6 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 10 - -
Dalano Banton 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 2 - -
Chris Boucher 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Justin Champagnie 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 36 8-24 3-7 3-4 12 7 1 0 22 - -
Dennis Schroder * 34 8-15 2-3 2-2 3 4 0 0 20 - -
Marcus Smart * 34 5-12 1-4 2-4 3 6 3 1 13 - -
Robert Williams III * 32 8-11 0-0 0-1 13 1 2 1 16 - -
Al Horford * 24 5-11 0-3 0-0 5 2 1 1 10 - -
Josh Richardson 32 5-9 2-4 3-4 3 1 3 1 15 - -
Romeo Langford 19 2-6 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 6 - -
Grant Williams 17 1-5 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Aaron Nesmith 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Payton Pritchard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter