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2021-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 38.2% 61.8% -
Bradley-Terry 31.4% 68.6% -
Margin 31.1% 68.9% +4.4 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% -
Efficiency 58.4% 41.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.2% 43.8% -
Log Adjusted 56.0% 44.0% -
Points Off/Def 50.0% 50.0% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +3 (126-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 43 6-18 3-11 4-6 8 2 2 0 19 - -
Gordon Hayward * 41 7-14 2-6 5-5 6 3 0 0 21 - -
LaMelo Ball * 41 8-19 3-8 6-6 15 11 1 1 25 - -
Terry Rozier * 40 11-22 3-10 4-4 2 3 1 0 29 - -
Mason Plumlee * 34 6-7 0-0 1-3 10 2 0 1 13 - -
Cody Martin 21 1-5 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 17 3-10 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Nick Richards 15 1-4 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 1 3 - -
Jalen McDaniels 8 0-0 0-0 2-3 2 1 0 0 2 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 43 13-25 0-3 6-8 12 4 3 5 32 - -
Russell Westbrook * 41 5-15 0-2 7-10 12 14 3 0 17 - -
Avery Bradley * 23 3-8 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Kent Bazemore * 14 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
DeAndre Jordan * 10 4-4 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 0 10 - -
Carmelo Anthony 36 9-13 7-10 4-5 3 1 1 1 29 - -
Austin Reaves 27 3-6 0-3 2-2 1 1 1 0 8 - -
Wayne Ellington 23 2-3 2-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Malik Monk 17 4-8 2-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 10 - -
Dwight Howard 15 1-2 0-0 2-6 9 1 1 1 4 - -
Rajon Rondo 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 8 1 1 0 - -

* = starter