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2021-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 29.6% 70.4% -
Bradley-Terry 32.1% 67.9% -
Margin 24.0% 76.0% +6.3 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 32.1% 67.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.5% 69.5% -
Log Adjusted 30.4% 69.6% -
Points Off/Def 33.2% 66.8% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +14 (127-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 32 11-20 4-8 2-3 3 9 1 0 28 21 -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 31 7-14 3-8 0-0 1 2 0 1 17 7 -
John Collins * 30 6-7 2-3 5-6 6 1 0 0 19 19 -
Clint Capela * 23 1-5 0-0 0-2 6 2 0 1 2 6 -
De'Andre Hunter * 22 4-9 2-5 1-2 2 0 1 0 11 5 -
Kevin Huerter 25 4-8 3-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 11 8 -
Danilo Gallinari 22 1-7 0-4 2-2 3 1 1 0 4 2 -
Delon Wright 15 0-2 0-2 7-8 5 2 2 0 7 14 -
Cam Reddish 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 1 -
Solomon Hill 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 5 2-4 1-3 3-3 0 0 1 0 8 5 -
Gorgui Dieng 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 5 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 35 14-28 9-19 13-13 7 10 3 1 50 43 -
Jordan Poole * 31 6-17 3-10 1-1 4 4 2 0 16 9 -
Draymond Green * 29 2-8 0-1 0-0 7 9 2 0 4 14 -
Andrew Wiggins * 26 5-12 1-4 2-2 4 1 1 0 13 7 -
Kevon Looney * 17 2-3 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 6 10 -
Gary Payton II 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 3 0 2 8 -
Andre Iguodala 19 3-5 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 1 6 4 -
Damion Lee 17 5-8 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 1 11 8 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 14 4-5 3-4 0-0 1 1 1 1 11 10 -
Nemanja Bjelica 13 2-2 1-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 7 8 -
Jonathan Kuminga 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 -
Jeff Dowtin 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Moses Moody 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter