Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +16 (108-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 38 | 8-20 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 37 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 33 | 10-16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham * | 32 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tomas Satoransky | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 13 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 33 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 33 | 10-21 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 29 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 26 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 30 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 21 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter