Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +5 (99-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 37 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 35 | 5-19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 26 | 0-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks * | 22 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 18 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 27 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 25 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 24 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 34 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 23 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 14 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 7-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 13 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors | 12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 7 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter