Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✗ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -3 (91-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Turner * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 26 | - | |
| T.J. McConnell * | 32 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 31 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 30 | 9-22 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 9 | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 37 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 9-11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 34 | 7-19 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 6 | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 33 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - | |
| Maurice Harkless * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 31 | 6-16 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 28 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| Alex Len | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 13 | - | |
| Terence Davis | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter