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2021-11-07

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 62.7% 37.3% -
Bradley-Terry 67.8% 32.2% -
Margin 76.9% 23.1% -6.6 (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% -
Efficiency 69.1% 30.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.7% 31.3% -
Log Adjusted 68.7% 31.3% -
Points Off/Def 58.8% 41.2% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +7 (101-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 39 12-26 0-4 5-12 18 5 3 1 29 - -
Grayson Allen * 34 6-12 3-8 4-4 1 2 4 0 19 - -
George Hill * 32 3-10 0-5 0-0 0 3 0 0 6 - -
Bobby Portis * 30 6-17 1-3 0-0 13 2 4 2 13 - -
Jrue Holiday * 29 6-16 2-7 0-0 5 4 1 0 14 - -
Pat Connaughton 28 2-8 2-6 1-2 5 1 2 0 7 - -
Semi Ojeleye 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 - -
Jordan Nwora 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Justin Robinson 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 37 14-22 2-3 0-1 5 8 0 1 30 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 29 6-11 3-8 0-0 10 5 0 1 15 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 26 2-8 2-5 0-0 2 4 0 0 6 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 25 2-6 1-2 0-1 2 0 4 0 5 - -
Daniel Gafford * 21 5-6 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 2 11 - -
Deni Avdija 27 1-3 1-2 0-0 9 4 1 2 3 - -
Montrezl Harrell 26 5-7 0-0 5-5 4 1 1 1 15 - -
Raul Neto 22 2-8 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Corey Kispert 11 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Aaron Holiday 11 2-5 1-2 2-4 1 2 1 1 7 - -

* = starter