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2021-11-07

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 56.1% 43.9% -
Bradley-Terry 48.4% 51.6% -
Margin 52.2% 47.8% -0.5 (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% -
Efficiency 55.3% 44.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% -
Log Adjusted 50.6% 49.4% -
Points Off/Def 45.6% 54.4% -

Actual: New York Knicks -17 (109-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 35 11-15 2-4 2-2 9 5 1 1 26 - -
Darius Garland * 35 6-14 4-5 0-0 3 5 1 0 16 - -
Jarrett Allen * 34 8-15 0-0 2-4 17 4 2 0 18 - -
Dean Wade * 26 2-6 2-5 0-0 3 0 3 0 6 - -
Collin Sexton * 12 4-8 0-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 8 - -
Ricky Rubio 31 13-19 8-9 3-3 3 10 1 0 37 - -
Cedi Osman 31 0-5 0-5 2-2 5 2 0 1 2 - -
Dylan Windler 16 3-5 3-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Lamar Stevens 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Denzel Valentine 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Tacko Fall 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 36 7-17 1-5 4-5 7 7 1 1 19 - -
RJ Barrett * 29 3-13 0-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Evan Fournier * 29 5-13 2-7 3-3 3 1 2 0 15 - -
Derrick Rose * 28 8-14 1-2 0-0 1 5 1 0 17 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 16 3-3 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 5 8 - -
Nerlens Noel 30 2-2 0-0 1-1 6 0 3 3 5 - -
Alec Burks 21 2-7 1-2 5-6 1 0 1 0 10 - -
Immanuel Quickley 20 3-8 2-5 4-4 1 5 1 0 12 - -
Quentin Grimes 12 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Obi Toppin 11 4-4 0-0 3-3 2 1 0 0 11 - -
Miles McBride 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kevin Knox II 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jericho Sims 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter