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2021-11-07

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 20.2% 79.8% -
Bradley-Terry 49.1% 50.9% -
Margin 54.1% 45.9% -0.9 (15.9 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% -
Efficiency 68.4% 31.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.0% 34.0% -
Log Adjusted 66.1% 33.9% -
Points Off/Def 56.1% 43.9% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +15 (105-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 29 1-13 1-3 5-8 9 6 2 0 8 - -
Avery Bradley * 22 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 4 - -
DeAndre Jordan * 20 3-5 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 1 6 - -
Kent Bazemore * 19 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Anthony Davis * 7 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Carmelo Anthony 26 4-14 0-4 4-4 2 1 0 2 12 - -
Austin Reaves 24 3-9 2-5 2-2 6 3 0 0 10 - -
Wayne Ellington 24 3-8 2-7 0-0 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Malik Monk 21 5-11 3-7 0-0 4 3 1 1 13 - -
Dwight Howard 14 3-6 0-0 5-6 7 0 1 1 11 - -
Rajon Rondo 12 1-6 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 - -
Jay Huff 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 8 4-4 1-1 1-2 4 0 2 1 10 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Covington * 32 4-8 4-7 0-0 4 2 2 1 12 - -
Damian Lillard * 30 9-19 6-14 1-2 3 6 2 0 25 - -
Norman Powell * 27 4-11 1-4 4-6 2 2 1 2 13 - -
CJ McCollum * 24 3-15 1-10 0-0 5 5 0 0 7 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 21 6-6 0-0 3-5 17 1 3 1 15 - -
Anfernee Simons 23 4-14 0-6 2-2 5 4 0 0 10 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 16 1-4 0-1 2-3 4 1 0 1 4 - -
Nassir Little 15 3-7 2-6 0-0 5 0 1 2 8 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 4 0 0 - -
Cody Zeller 11 1-1 0-0 4-4 3 0 1 0 6 - -
Tony Snell 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Greg Brown III 5 0-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
CJ Elleby 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ben McLemore 5 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter