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2021-11-07

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 22.1% 77.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% - ✓
Margin 28.7% 71.3% +5.0 ✓ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% - ✓
Efficiency 29.7% 70.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 30.3% 69.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Suns +4 (121-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 39 10-23 4-9 7-8 2 13 0 0 31 - -
John Collins * 34 9-12 3-4 5-5 10 0 0 0 26 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 29 7-17 4-11 0-0 7 0 0 0 18 - -
Clint Capela * 28 4-11 0-0 1-2 13 1 0 0 9 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 28 1-9 0-2 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 - -
Cam Reddish 26 3-9 0-3 4-4 3 0 1 0 10 - -
Danilo Gallinari 22 3-6 2-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Kevin Huerter 18 3-4 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 7 - -
Lou Williams 8 2-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 4 - -
Gorgui Dieng 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Paul * 35 5-8 1-2 5-6 6 13 1 1 16 - -
Devin Booker * 34 14-21 5-9 5-7 6 4 2 1 38 - -
Jae Crowder * 31 5-12 3-10 2-2 8 0 1 1 15 - -
Mikal Bridges * 30 4-8 0-4 0-0 3 2 1 1 8 - -
JaVale McGee * 17 3-6 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 1 6 - -
Frank Kaminsky 29 7-10 2-3 0-0 6 4 0 1 16 - -
Cameron Johnson 19 2-8 0-5 0-0 2 0 2 0 4 - -
Landry Shamet 17 3-6 3-6 3-3 3 2 0 0 12 - -
Cameron Payne 12 1-5 0-3 2-2 1 1 1 0 4 - -
Abdel Nader 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter