Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.1% | 32.9% | -3.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +3 (107-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 38 | 12-19 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 38 | 9-22 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 36 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 33 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 30 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 20 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 12-21 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 30 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 27 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 34 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 26 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter