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2021-11-07

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 46.6% 53.4% -
Bradley-Terry 41.4% 58.6% -
Margin 42.4% 57.6% +1.7 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% -
Efficiency 60.1% 39.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.8% 44.2% -
Log Adjusted 55.7% 44.3% -
Points Off/Def 49.4% 50.6% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -9 (105-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 44 5-9 0-1 0-0 3 8 1 1 10 - -
Shake Milton * 35 4-10 0-2 5-5 7 6 2 1 13 - -
Joel Embiid * 34 11-19 4-5 4-7 15 3 0 2 30 - -
Seth Curry * 33 5-11 0-3 1-1 2 1 1 0 11 - -
Paul Reed * 21 5-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 10 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 32 9-13 7-9 0-0 6 1 0 0 25 - -
Georges Niang 25 3-10 2-6 4-4 1 2 1 0 12 - -
Andre Drummond 13 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 38 3-9 2-5 0-0 5 5 1 0 8 - -
Zach LaVine * 38 12-26 3-10 5-8 9 3 0 0 32 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 35 7-15 1-1 10-12 4 4 2 0 25 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 35 5-16 1-7 0-0 11 2 0 0 11 - -
Javonte Green * 18 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 - -
Alex Caruso 32 3-7 0-3 3-4 3 4 1 0 9 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 17 3-4 0-1 6-6 4 0 0 1 12 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 12 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -
Tony Bradley 12 2-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 4 - -

* = starter