Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.5% | 75.5% | +6.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (118-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 36 | 14-28 | 4-15 | 5-6 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 32 | 7-11 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 32 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 26 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 17 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 36 | 8-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 35 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 22 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 34 | 11-18 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 18 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter