Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | +5.7 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +1 (95-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Wood * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 32 | 2-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 31 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 28 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 18 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Armoni Brooks | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 9-15 | 1-3 | 9-11 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 36 | 7-19 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 27 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| P.J. Dozier | 23 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 20 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 18 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 15 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter