Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✓ (26.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +30 (140-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 37 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 34 | 10-17 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 30 | 3-14 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 30 | 9-14 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin | 20 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 14 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 13 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| James Bouknight | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kai Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 36 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 33 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 30 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 29 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Maurice Harkless * | 21 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 30 | 9-18 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 24 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 16 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter