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2021-11-06

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 14.3% 85.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% -
Margin 54.4% 45.6% -1.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 57.4% 42.6% -
Efficiency 66.5% 33.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.7% 33.3% -
Log Adjusted 66.8% 33.2% -
Points Off/Def 56.3% 43.7% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +4 (110-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 35 7-12 0-4 1-4 12 4 0 0 15 19 -
Caris LeVert * 33 6-21 0-8 0-0 4 6 1 0 12 2 -
T.J. McConnell * 32 8-13 3-4 0-0 7 2 2 1 19 18 -
Myles Turner * 30 5-10 3-7 3-4 6 2 0 1 16 15 -
Chris Duarte * 26 4-7 1-3 0-0 3 4 1 0 9 10 -
Justin Holiday 30 4-9 4-7 0-0 4 3 1 0 12 11 -
Brad Wanamaker 17 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 6 0 0 5 7 -
Torrey Craig 16 3-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 6 6 -
Kelan Martin 12 3-5 2-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 8 5 -
Goga Bitadze 3 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 3 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 40 11-19 5-9 0-0 5 6 0 0 27 19 -
Damian Lillard * 37 2-13 0-6 0-0 4 11 1 1 4 8 -
Robert Covington * 33 7-12 5-10 0-0 5 0 1 0 19 13 -
Norman Powell * 32 8-14 3-4 6-6 2 2 2 1 25 18 -
Jusuf Nurkic * 23 4-8 0-1 2-2 9 3 2 0 10 16 -
Anfernee Simons 21 6-10 4-6 0-0 1 1 0 1 16 9 -
Larry Nance Jr. 17 0-1 0-0 2-4 5 3 1 1 2 11 -
Nassir Little 15 2-3 0-1 3-3 4 0 0 0 7 8 -
Cody Zeller 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 7 -
Tony Snell 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter