🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-11-06

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 16.1% 83.9% -
Bradley-Terry 22.7% 77.3% -
Margin 14.1% 85.9% +9.9 (31.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% -
Efficiency 24.3% 75.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.0% 75.0% -
Log Adjusted 25.0% 75.0% -
Points Off/Def 28.7% 71.3% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +41 (126-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonas Valanciunas * 31 8-14 1-1 3-4 15 4 0 0 20 25 -
Josh Hart * 30 3-5 1-2 3-4 9 2 1 0 10 17 -
Devonte' Graham * 29 4-12 3-10 1-3 3 3 1 0 12 7 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 28 3-11 2-7 0-0 1 2 0 0 8 0 -
Garrett Temple * 26 1-6 1-4 2-2 3 3 0 0 5 5 -
Naji Marshall 21 3-7 0-3 2-2 3 0 1 0 8 5 -
Tomas Satoransky 20 4-5 0-0 1-1 1 4 2 0 9 11 -
Kira Lewis Jr. 18 1-10 0-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 -4 -
Trey Murphy III 18 2-9 2-8 0-0 1 1 0 2 6 1 -
Didi Louzada 5 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jose Alvarado 5 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 5 3 -
Willy Hernangomez 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 29 5-15 5-13 4-4 3 6 0 2 19 15 -
Jordan Poole * 27 10-15 6-9 0-0 0 1 0 0 26 12 -
Andrew Wiggins * 26 6-13 1-5 3-4 3 0 0 0 16 6 -
Draymond Green * 24 3-5 0-2 2-2 8 5 2 0 8 18 -
Kevon Looney * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 -
Damion Lee 20 2-6 1-3 1-2 3 2 0 0 6 5 -
Gary Payton II 17 7-10 1-3 2-2 6 3 1 0 17 17 -
Nemanja Bjelica 17 5-7 3-5 0-0 7 3 2 1 13 19 -
Andre Iguodala 17 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 10 2 0 2 14 -
Otto Porter Jr. 16 3-7 2-6 0-0 3 2 1 0 8 7 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 2 3 0 4 9 -
Moses Moody 8 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
Jonathan Kuminga 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 5 -

* = starter