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2021-11-05

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 50.3% 49.7% -
Bradley-Terry 53.5% 46.5% -
Margin 62.6% 37.4% -2.8 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 49.1% 50.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.3% 54.7% -
Log Adjusted 45.3% 54.7% -
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -1 (101-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 38 7-14 0-3 4-4 5 2 0 1 18 - -
Jarrett Allen * 38 5-6 1-1 5-6 15 0 2 1 16 - -
Darius Garland * 36 8-12 2-3 3-3 1 8 1 0 21 - -
Collin Sexton * 31 4-17 1-5 0-0 5 2 1 0 9 - -
Dean Wade * 25 4-9 0-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 8 - -
Cedi Osman 26 5-12 5-10 2-4 2 2 0 1 17 - -
Ricky Rubio 22 4-8 1-1 2-2 5 4 0 0 11 - -
Dylan Windler 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Lamar Stevens 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 38 7-19 0-0 0-0 9 4 0 2 14 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 37 7-14 3-4 0-0 2 1 6 2 17 - -
Fred VanVleet * 37 6-18 4-8 2-3 6 6 1 0 18 - -
OG Anunoby * 36 10-21 3-7 0-0 6 5 1 1 23 - -
Precious Achiuwa * 18 2-3 0-1 1-2 8 0 0 0 5 - -
Khem Birch 29 2-8 0-1 0-0 8 2 0 2 4 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 19 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Dalano Banton 9 5-7 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 11 - -
Chris Boucher 7 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Malachi Flynn 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 3 0 5 - -

* = starter