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2021-11-05

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 52.2% 47.8% -
Bradley-Terry 67.0% 33.0% -
Margin 81.6% 18.4% -8.2 (36.2 off)
Pythagorean 58.3% 41.7% -
Efficiency 75.2% 24.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.3% 24.7% -
Log Adjusted 75.4% 24.6% -
Points Off/Def 64.5% 35.5% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +28 (115-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 29 4-17 0-2 3-4 6 4 0 0 11 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 24 4-14 1-6 4-4 9 2 1 2 13 - -
Desmond Bane * 21 4-8 1-4 1-1 0 0 0 0 10 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 20 2-9 0-4 0-0 2 1 1 1 4 - -
Steven Adams * 19 2-5 0-0 1-2 6 2 0 0 5 - -
Kyle Anderson 19 0-4 0-0 0-0 4 4 2 0 0 - -
Ziaire Williams 18 3-6 3-6 0-0 0 0 2 0 9 - -
Tyus Jones 17 3-6 0-1 1-1 3 2 2 0 7 - -
Xavier Tillman 12 3-5 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 6 - -
Santi Aldama 9 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Brandon Clarke 9 3-7 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 6 - -
Jarrett Culver 9 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Sam Merrill 9 1-2 1-2 1-3 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Killian Tillie 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 - -
John Konchar 6 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 27 7-12 0-3 3-3 3 7 0 0 17 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 26 4-10 4-7 0-0 7 3 2 0 12 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 24 5-10 3-4 0-0 6 3 0 0 13 - -
Daniel Gafford * 23 7-8 0-0 1-2 4 3 0 2 15 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 22 5-11 2-5 0-0 4 6 0 1 12 - -
Deni Avdija 28 2-6 0-2 1-4 7 3 0 1 5 - -
Raul Neto 25 7-8 1-1 0-0 5 3 0 0 15 - -
Montrezl Harrell 24 9-11 0-0 0-2 8 0 1 1 18 - -
Aaron Holiday 20 2-5 0-1 2-2 5 3 1 1 6 - -
Corey Kispert 16 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 - -

* = starter