Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.1% | 31.9% | -4.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -3 (104-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 39 | 9-17 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 35 | 4-14 | 3-11 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 31 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 28 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 24 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 29 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 21 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 6 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 38 | 11-20 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 29 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 34 | 10-23 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Avery Bradley * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony | 31 | 8-18 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves | 22 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Wayne Ellington | 8 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter