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2021-11-04

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% -
Bradley-Terry 47.1% 52.9% -
Margin 46.1% 53.9% +0.9 (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 61.5% 38.5% -
Efficiency 78.6% 21.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.2% 23.8% -
Log Adjusted 76.2% 23.8% -
Points Off/Def 65.1% 34.9% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -11 (98-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 44 8-12 2-4 2-2 4 5 2 0 20 - -
Seth Curry * 36 9-14 4-8 1-1 0 2 0 0 23 - -
Shake Milton * 33 7-13 2-5 0-1 8 5 2 0 16 - -
Joel Embiid * 30 6-15 0-0 7-8 9 3 1 0 19 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 30 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 3 5 - -
Georges Niang 31 4-11 3-10 3-4 7 2 1 0 14 - -
Andre Drummond 17 3-6 0-0 2-6 10 3 1 0 8 - -
Paul Reed 14 2-5 0-1 0-0 9 1 0 0 4 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 37 3-9 1-5 0-0 5 4 1 0 7 - -
Jerami Grant * 37 11-22 2-6 3-3 6 4 1 1 27 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 31 3-5 0-1 0-0 7 2 1 1 6 - -
Cade Cunningham * 31 4-17 1-7 9-10 10 4 1 0 18 - -
Killian Hayes * 28 4-8 2-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 10 - -
Kelly Olynyk 16 4-10 2-6 1-2 5 0 1 0 11 - -
Cory Joseph 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 5 0 0 2 - -
Josh Jackson 15 2-4 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Frank Jackson 13 3-6 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Trey Lyles 10 0-4 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter