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2021-11-04

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 36.2% 63.8% -
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% -
Margin 35.1% 64.9% +3.4 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% -
Efficiency 63.1% 36.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.0% 39.0% -
Log Adjusted 61.1% 38.9% -
Points Off/Def 51.9% 48.1% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +13 (112-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Garrett Temple * 34 4-11 1-5 3-4 9 2 0 2 12 14 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 32 7-16 1-6 1-2 3 4 1 0 16 8 -
Josh Hart * 31 4-11 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 9 3 -
Devonte' Graham * 30 5-10 4-8 2-2 1 7 0 0 16 14 -
Jonas Valanciunas * 29 5-13 2-3 2-2 11 2 0 0 14 14 -
Naji Marshall 19 2-5 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 5 5 -
Kira Lewis Jr. 16 6-9 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 14 7 -
Trey Murphy III 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 5 -
Tomas Satoransky 12 2-5 0-0 1-1 0 2 0 0 5 2 -
Willy Hernangomez 10 2-2 0-0 4-4 2 1 0 0 8 9 -
Jaxson Hayes 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Didi Louzada 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Jose Alvarado 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 38 5-8 4-6 9-10 8 3 1 0 23 27 -
De'Aaron Fox * 37 8-14 2-3 1-2 2 5 1 0 19 13 -
Tyrese Haliburton * 36 6-11 1-3 7-8 4 7 4 2 20 26 -
Maurice Harkless * 32 1-4 1-4 0-0 5 1 1 1 3 7 -
Richaun Holmes * 16 6-9 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 12 10 -
Davion Mitchell 26 6-12 0-2 0-0 2 8 0 0 12 10 -
Buddy Hield 22 4-13 2-10 1-2 5 0 1 0 11 4 -
Alex Len 20 6-9 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 3 12 13 -
Tristan Thompson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter