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2021-11-04

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 19.4% 80.6% -
Bradley-Terry 21.2% 78.8% -
Margin 13.7% 86.3% +10.1 (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.7% 60.3% -
Efficiency 27.2% 72.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.3% 75.7% -
Log Adjusted 24.1% 75.9% -
Points Off/Def 28.9% 71.1% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +22 (114-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 37 8-15 2-3 5-6 11 2 1 0 23 22 -
Miles Bridges * 37 12-22 5-9 3-4 9 2 2 2 32 25 -
Terry Rozier * 34 2-12 1-7 0-0 6 2 0 0 5 1 -
LaMelo Ball * 33 5-14 0-6 4-4 5 8 4 0 14 17 -
Mason Plumlee * 20 3-7 0-0 1-2 4 1 2 0 7 7 -
Cody Martin 25 1-3 0-1 0-1 5 2 1 0 2 7 -
P.J. Washington 17 2-8 2-5 1-2 5 0 0 0 7 4 -
Ish Smith 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 13 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 -2 -
Jalen McDaniels 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
James Bouknight 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Nick Richards 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 35 6-15 3-11 0-0 8 9 1 1 15 19 -
Draymond Green * 34 2-5 0-0 1-3 10 8 1 0 5 19 -
Jordan Poole * 32 11-21 7-16 2-2 3 1 4 0 31 18 -
Andrew Wiggins * 28 4-12 2-6 4-4 6 3 0 0 14 11 -
Kevon Looney * 14 3-3 0-0 1-4 6 1 1 0 7 12 -
Andre Iguodala 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 5 1 0 3 8 -
Gary Payton II 17 6-9 0-2 2-2 5 1 3 1 14 15 -
Damion Lee 15 5-8 3-4 2-2 4 0 1 0 15 12 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 3 -
Nemanja Bjelica 12 3-4 2-2 0-1 2 2 2 0 8 10 -
Otto Porter Jr. 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 4 -
Jonathan Kuminga 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jeff Dowtin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Moses Moody 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 -

* = starter