Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.3% | 48.7% | -0.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -1 (108-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson * | 36 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 12-15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 10-25 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 35 | 7-17 | 3-9 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 16 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 14 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White * | 36 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 34 | 8-18 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 30 | 7-18 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks * | 19 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 30 | 9-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter