Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | +2.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +2 (108-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 40 | 11-21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 11-20 | 2-5 | 10-10 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 27 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 20 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| P.J. Dozier | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 32 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 2-7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 30 | 7-14 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 29 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 24 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 23 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 20 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter