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2021-11-03

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 69.4% 30.6% -
Bradley-Terry 50.7% 49.3% -
Margin 52.6% 47.4% -0.6 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% -
Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% -
Log Adjusted 47.7% 52.3% -
Points Off/Def 44.3% 55.7% -

Actual: Brooklyn Nets +9 (117-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Collins * 36 5-14 1-5 2-2 12 2 1 2 13 16 -
Trae Young * 36 6-22 2-6 7-8 9 10 0 0 21 18 -
Clint Capela * 32 5-8 0-0 3-3 16 1 1 0 13 23 -
De'Andre Hunter * 32 10-11 6-6 0-1 2 0 1 1 26 19 -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 29 3-10 1-5 1-1 4 1 3 0 8 6 -
Kevin Huerter 23 7-9 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 1 16 11 -
Cam Reddish 18 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 -1 -
Danilo Gallinari 15 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 7 4 -
Lou Williams 11 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 5 1 0 2 5 -
Gorgui Dieng 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 35 13-20 2-6 4-6 7 5 1 1 32 26 -
James Harden * 35 5-14 5-11 1-1 4 11 1 1 16 19 -
Joe Harris * 34 6-10 6-8 0-0 6 0 2 1 18 17 -
Bruce Brown * 30 5-10 0-2 0-0 2 1 2 1 10 6 -
Blake Griffin * 30 2-9 2-7 1-1 7 5 0 1 7 11 -
Patty Mills 21 5-9 4-7 0-0 3 6 0 0 14 14 -
LaMarcus Aldridge 17 4-8 2-4 0-0 4 2 0 2 10 10 -
DeAndre' Bembry 14 2-4 1-2 3-4 1 1 1 0 8 7 -
Paul Millsap 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 5 -
Jevon Carter 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 5 -

* = starter