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2021-11-03

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 36.5% 63.5% -
Bradley-Terry 44.3% 55.7% -
Margin 39.4% 60.6% +2.4 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -
Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% -
Log Adjusted 38.3% 61.7% -
Points Off/Def 37.3% 62.7% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +5 (103-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 37 11-24 2-7 3-4 9 1 1 0 27 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 36 13-22 0-1 11-12 10 1 1 0 37 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 36 2-7 0-2 0-0 10 6 0 0 4 - -
Lonzo Ball * 32 5-11 3-6 0-0 5 5 3 1 13 - -
Javonte Green * 23 2-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 0 4 - -
Alex Caruso 31 3-6 0-2 0-0 3 6 2 0 6 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 16 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 2 2 4 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Tony Bradley 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matisse Thybulle * 38 3-4 2-3 0-0 4 1 3 2 8 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 37 5-10 0-0 4-6 1 6 0 0 14 - -
Seth Curry * 34 9-14 2-4 2-2 5 3 1 0 22 - -
Joel Embiid * 34 6-18 1-5 5-9 9 7 1 1 18 - -
Furkan Korkmaz * 26 5-9 1-4 0-0 5 1 1 1 11 - -
Georges Niang 31 6-12 4-8 2-2 3 1 1 0 18 - -
Shake Milton 19 3-5 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 7 - -
Andre Drummond 13 0-3 0-0 2-2 5 3 1 0 2 - -
Isaiah Joe 4 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter