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2021-11-03

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 62.2% 37.8% -
Bradley-Terry 67.7% 32.3% -
Margin 80.5% 19.5% -7.8 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 65.3% 34.7% -
Efficiency 86.6% 13.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.3% 15.7% -
Log Adjusted 84.4% 15.6% -
Points Off/Def 73.2% 26.8% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -13 (79-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 33 4-16 1-6 5-8 6 3 1 2 14 - -
Marcus Smart * 32 3-8 2-6 0-2 4 4 1 1 8 - -
Jaylen Brown * 31 10-17 3-8 5-7 5 3 1 0 28 - -
Robert Williams III * 30 6-8 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 12 - -
Al Horford * 26 3-9 2-5 4-4 12 7 1 3 12 - -
Dennis Schroder 26 4-11 0-4 0-0 4 3 0 0 8 - -
Josh Richardson 18 1-3 0-2 1-2 6 2 1 1 3 - -
Romeo Langford 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Payton Pritchard 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 - -
Grant Williams 7 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Aaron Nesmith 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Bruno Fernando 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 1 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cole Anthony * 37 4-18 2-11 3-3 5 4 0 0 13 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 35 5-12 2-5 1-2 13 4 2 0 13 - -
Franz Wagner * 31 4-10 1-7 0-0 3 0 1 0 9 - -
Mo Bamba * 29 1-6 1-3 2-2 10 1 2 1 5 - -
Jalen Suggs * 24 4-14 1-5 1-3 3 2 1 0 10 - -
Terrence Ross 28 3-6 0-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 8 - -
R.J. Hampton 19 4-8 1-3 3-4 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Chuma Okeke 18 1-4 0-2 4-4 4 0 2 0 6 - -
Moritz Wagner 9 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Mychal Mulder 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter