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2021-11-03

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 43.9% 56.1% -
Bradley-Terry 25.0% 75.0% -
Margin 11.3% 88.7% +11.3 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 29.9% 70.1% -
Efficiency 12.6% 87.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.4% 84.6% -
Log Adjusted 15.3% 84.7% -
Points Off/Def 22.4% 77.6% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +3 (107-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 39 10-27 3-12 3-5 3 8 2 0 26 - -
CJ McCollum * 35 7-19 4-9 3-4 7 6 1 1 21 - -
Norman Powell * 32 9-16 3-6 2-3 3 2 3 2 23 - -
Robert Covington * 30 2-3 2-3 0-0 7 2 3 1 6 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 27 3-7 0-0 0-1 9 2 1 0 6 - -
Anfernee Simons 24 6-11 1-4 2-2 0 1 1 0 15 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 21 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 - -
Cody Zeller 13 3-4 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 7 - -
Nassir Little 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 - -
Tony Snell 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 39 5-11 0-1 1-2 11 0 0 1 11 - -
Jarrett Allen * 39 9-15 0-1 6-9 17 4 1 1 24 - -
Darius Garland * 36 6-9 5-6 2-2 2 10 1 0 19 - -
Collin Sexton * 32 8-13 2-4 3-3 3 2 0 0 21 - -
Dean Wade * 22 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 7 - -
Ricky Rubio 31 0-7 0-4 0-0 3 7 1 0 0 - -
Dylan Windler 20 4-5 3-3 2-2 1 3 1 0 13 - -
Cedi Osman 17 4-7 4-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 12 - -

* = starter