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2021-11-03

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 54.8% 45.2% -
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% -
Margin 45.7% 54.3% +0.9 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.4% 60.6% -
Efficiency 27.4% 72.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% -
Log Adjusted 31.8% 68.2% -
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +2 (119-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 39 5-14 1-6 0-1 5 8 4 1 11 - -
Christian Wood * 37 11-19 3-9 1-5 16 3 1 0 26 - -
Jalen Green * 37 9-15 5-10 1-2 2 5 0 0 24 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 35 9-15 2-4 0-0 5 2 1 2 20 - -
Alperen Sengun * 25 3-7 0-1 0-0 4 4 1 0 6 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 28 6-8 2-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 14 - -
David Nwaba 13 2-6 0-3 1-2 1 0 1 1 5 - -
D.J. Augustin 13 2-3 2-3 1-1 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Armoni Brooks 9 1-4 1-3 1-1 0 1 0 0 4 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 37 10-21 0-4 7-8 9 7 1 0 27 - -
LeBron James * 36 13-21 2-4 2-2 4 10 2 0 30 - -
Anthony Davis * 32 11-18 0-3 5-8 9 3 2 3 27 - -
Avery Bradley * 28 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 - -
Kent Bazemore * 26 3-7 1-3 0-0 4 1 2 0 7 - -
Carmelo Anthony 29 6-9 3-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 15 - -
Austin Reaves 20 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 - -
DeAndre Jordan 15 4-5 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 0 8 - -
Malik Monk 13 0-3 0-1 1-2 1 2 1 0 1 - -

* = starter