Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | +2.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +9 (106-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 36 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 33 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 23 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 28 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 27 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 19 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| P.J. Dozier | 18 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 15 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 14 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 35 | 12-22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 25 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 18 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 27 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 25 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 16 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter