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2021-11-01

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 22.9% 77.1% -
Bradley-Terry 28.2% 71.8% -
Margin 14.0% 86.0% +10.0 (24.0 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% -
Efficiency 21.4% 78.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.0% 75.0% -
Log Adjusted 24.9% 75.1% -
Points Off/Def 29.1% 70.9% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -14 (114-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 38 9-20 1-8 7-7 3 7 1 0 26 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 34 5-11 1-5 0-0 10 9 0 2 11 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 33 15-20 3-4 4-5 7 2 1 1 37 - -
Lonzo Ball * 32 4-10 4-6 0-0 6 4 1 0 12 - -
Javonte Green * 21 3-6 0-1 0-0 8 0 1 0 6 - -
Alex Caruso 23 2-5 1-3 4-4 3 6 2 1 9 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 21 3-5 1-2 2-2 4 0 1 2 9 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 21 6-6 2-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 14 - -
Tony Bradley 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 4 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 36 8-22 1-4 3-4 4 3 2 0 20 - -
Al Horford * 33 8-15 3-7 1-1 10 3 1 1 20 - -
Jaylen Brown * 33 10-18 5-8 3-4 7 3 1 0 28 - -
Marcus Smart * 33 5-11 3-5 3-5 1 0 4 0 16 - -
Robert Williams III * 24 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Josh Richardson 24 3-7 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Dennis Schroder 21 3-10 2-4 5-6 3 5 2 0 13 - -
Grant Williams 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 - -
Romeo Langford 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Payton Pritchard 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Aaron Nesmith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Bruno Fernando 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter