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2021-11-01

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 20.2% 79.8% -
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% -
Margin 17.0% 83.0% +8.7 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.4% 59.6% -
Efficiency 29.1% 70.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.5% 69.5% -
Log Adjusted 30.5% 69.5% -
Points Off/Def 32.2% 67.8% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +7 (118-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 34 10-21 3-11 1-1 2 3 2 0 24 10 -
Kyle Kuzma * 33 7-15 4-9 0-0 6 2 0 0 18 11 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 30 4-10 2-6 1-1 4 2 1 0 11 8 -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 28 5-11 1-5 3-3 5 10 1 0 14 19 -
Daniel Gafford * 14 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 3 4 6 -
Montrezl Harrell 33 3-7 0-0 7-7 8 3 0 0 13 17 -
Raul Neto 19 2-6 0-3 2-2 1 5 1 0 6 7 -
Deni Avdija 17 4-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 9 8 -
Aaron Holiday 13 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 6 -
Corey Kispert 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 5 -
Davis Bertans 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 36 7-16 1-6 11-11 4 6 1 0 26 21 -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 34 5-9 4-6 2-2 6 6 0 0 16 19 -
Clint Capela * 33 7-9 0-0 2-2 12 1 1 2 16 23 -
John Collins * 31 3-7 0-1 6-6 9 6 0 1 12 21 -
De'Andre Hunter * 27 5-11 1-4 0-0 2 0 2 0 11 4 -
Cam Reddish 27 4-10 3-6 4-4 4 2 2 0 15 13 -
Danilo Gallinari 16 4-10 4-7 0-0 5 0 1 0 12 8 -
Lou Williams 12 2-8 0-3 2-2 0 0 1 0 6 -1 -
Delon Wright 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 5 -
Gorgui Dieng 9 0-2 0-1 2-2 5 0 0 2 2 7 -

* = starter