Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.7% | 56.3% | +1.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +13 (131-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 26 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 26 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 26 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 23 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 27 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 24 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 19 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 18 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 5 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 35 | 11-15 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 28 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 24 | 7-10 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 19 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 23 | 6-19 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 25 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 25 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 13 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Duane Washington Jr. | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter