Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | +5.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +6 (105-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 39 | 5-16 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 38 | 5-16 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 33 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 26 | 9-15 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 22 | - | |
| Maurice Harkless * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 30 | 4-13 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 25 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - | |
| Terence Davis | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 10-21 | 1-7 | 2-6 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 33 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 32 | 5-14 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 7 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 27 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 21 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 20 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 11 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - | |
| Moses Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter