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2021-10-31

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 31.9% 68.1% -
Bradley-Terry 43.2% 56.8% -
Margin 49.6% 50.4% +0.1 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 31.7% 68.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.0% 69.0% -
Log Adjusted 31.0% 69.0% -
Points Off/Def 32.7% 67.3% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +9 (101-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 31 5-11 1-5 0-0 3 5 1 1 11 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 25 3-5 2-4 3-3 1 2 1 2 11 - -
Jarrett Allen * 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 4 - -
Evan Mobley * 21 1-6 0-1 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 - -
Collin Sexton * 18 4-7 0-2 2-3 1 0 0 0 10 - -
Cedi Osman 30 7-15 6-12 0-0 3 2 2 0 20 - -
Ricky Rubio 25 3-15 2-6 0-0 4 3 1 0 8 - -
Kevin Love 19 4-12 2-6 1-1 12 2 0 0 11 - -
Dean Wade 18 2-5 1-4 0-0 6 1 1 0 5 - -
Dylan Windler 15 4-8 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 8 - -
Lamar Stevens 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Denzel Valentine 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Paul * 36 6-10 2-2 2-6 2 10 4 0 16 - -
Devin Booker * 35 9-20 0-4 9-10 4 9 0 0 27 - -
Jae Crowder * 33 2-7 2-5 0-0 7 2 2 1 6 - -
Mikal Bridges * 30 5-9 0-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 10 - -
Deandre Ayton * 24 8-10 0-1 1-3 12 1 3 0 17 - -
Cameron Johnson 24 4-12 2-6 0-0 6 0 2 1 10 - -
JaVale McGee 18 3-3 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 0 8 - -
Landry Shamet 17 1-7 0-5 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Elfrid Payton 11 0-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Jalen Smith 8 1-4 0-1 2-2 5 0 1 1 4 - -

* = starter