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2021-10-31

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 54.2% 45.8% -
Bradley-Terry 42.9% 57.1% -
Margin 42.8% 57.2% +1.6 (19.4 off)
Pythagorean 28.5% 71.5% -
Efficiency 8.6% 91.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.6% 90.4% -
Log Adjusted 9.5% 90.5% -
Points Off/Def 17.3% 82.7% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +21 (103-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luguentz Dort * 29 4-10 2-6 4-4 1 1 1 1 14 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 28 6-14 2-7 1-2 5 2 1 0 15 - -
Darius Bazley * 27 1-7 0-5 3-4 8 0 1 1 5 - -
Josh Giddey * 27 5-11 0-2 0-1 4 6 1 1 10 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * 18 3-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Kenrich Williams 20 0-7 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski 19 2-4 1-3 2-2 9 0 0 1 7 - -
Ty Jerome 19 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 3 2 0 8 - -
Mike Muscala 14 1-5 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 2 3 - -
Derrick Favors 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Theo Maledon 8 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 - -
Isaiah Roby 8 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Gabriel Deck 6 3-3 1-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 9 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 31 6-15 2-6 0-0 3 4 1 0 14 - -
Stephen Curry * 27 7-16 6-13 0-0 5 6 1 0 20 - -
Draymond Green * 25 6-8 1-2 1-2 11 8 0 1 14 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 24 5-13 4-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 14 - -
Kevon Looney * 18 3-4 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 3 7 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 20 2-7 1-3 1-2 8 3 0 1 6 - -
Moses Moody 20 2-7 1-5 1-2 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Andre Iguodala 17 0-3 0-3 0-0 10 2 1 0 0 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 17 4-6 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 1 10 - -
Chris Chiozza 16 2-5 2-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 6 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 6 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -
Gary Payton II 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -

* = starter